Preston North End vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1953 |
ARS
3 - 2
PNE
66%
17%
17%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1953 |
PNE
3 - 1
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1953 |
MUD
1 - 0
PNE
57%
21%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1953 |
CHA
2 - 1
PNE
54%
21%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1953 |
PNE
2 - 2
NEW
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1953 |
OPA
1 - 1
CAR
72%
17%
12%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1953 |
CAR
0 - 3
ARS
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1953 |
CAR
1 - 1
BOL
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1953 |
CAR
2 - 0
SHE
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1953 |
MAC
1 - 1
CAR
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |