Preston North End vs Bury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1912 |
OLD
1 - 0
PNE
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1912 |
BBU
3 - 0
PNE
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1911 |
PNE
2 - 3
SHW
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1911 |
SHE
4 - 2
PNE
67%
19%
15%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1911 |
PNE
2 - 2
BBU
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1912 |
BCF
1 - 0
WBA
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1911 |
BCF
1 - 2
BBU
33%
25%
43%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1911 |
WBA
2 - 0
BCF
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1911 |
BCF
0 - 2
SUN
32%
24%
45%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1911 |
BCF
1 - 2
EVE
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |