Preston North End vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 1956 |
CAR
2 - 3
PNE
40%
23%
37%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1956 |
PNE
1 - 0
BUR
63%
20%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1956 |
BUR
2 - 2
PNE
48%
23%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1956 |
TOT
1 - 1
PNE
63%
18%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1956 |
CHA
3 - 4
PNE
44%
23%
34%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1957 |
NEW
3 - 2
BIR
57%
21%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1956 |
BIR
2 - 0
BUR
64%
20%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1956 |
BIR
4 - 0
SHW
60%
19%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1956 |
ARS
4 - 0
BIR
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1956 |
BIR
3 - 1
MUD
37%
23%
39%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |