Preston North End vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1949 |
MID
1 - 0
PNE
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1949 |
PNE
2 - 1
NEW
63%
19%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1948 |
PNE
2 - 3
CHA
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1948 |
CHA
0 - 0
PNE
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1948 |
OPA
3 - 1
PNE
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1949 |
CHL
2 - 0
BIR
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1948 |
NEW
1 - 0
BIR
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1948 |
BIR
2 - 0
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1948 |
BIR
0 - 1
WOL
33%
25%
42%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1948 |
BIR
0 - 0
SUN
43%
24%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |