Preston North End vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1924 |
BIR
2 - 0
PNE
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
WBA
1 - 2
PNE
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
PNE
0 - 1
EVE
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1924 |
EVE
1 - 1
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1924 |
PNE
3 - 1
NTT
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1924 |
BIR
2 - 0
PNE
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1924 |
BIR
2 - 1
BUR
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1924 |
MID
0 - 1
BIR
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
BIR
2 - 1
MID
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
BUR
1 - 2
BIR
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |