Preston North End vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1955 |
NEW
3 - 3
PNE
57%
20%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1955 |
SUN
2 - 1
PNE
52%
21%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1955 |
LEI
0 - 1
PNE
46%
22%
32%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1955 |
PNE
2 - 2
BOL
67%
18%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1955 |
PNE
2 - 4
LEI
67%
17%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1955 |
ASV
3 - 1
SHE
62%
19%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1955 |
ASV
4 - 2
WOL
45%
23%
32%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1955 |
WOL
1 - 0
ASV
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1955 |
CAR
0 - 1
ASV
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1955 |
ASV
3 - 1
BUR
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |