Preston North End vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1948 |
SHE
3 - 2
PNE
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1948 |
PNE
1 - 6
MUD
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1948 |
HUR
0 - 2
PNE
39%
24%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1948 |
PNE
1 - 1
ARS
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1948 |
DER
1 - 0
PNE
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1948 |
ASV
3 - 1
BUR
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1948 |
STO
4 - 2
ASV
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1948 |
ASV
4 - 3
CHA
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1948 |
MAC
4 - 1
ASV
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1948 |
ASV
1 - 1
OPA
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |