Preston North End vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1938 |
SUN
1 - 2
PNE
59%
21%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1938 |
PNE
1 - 1
GRI
57%
22%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1938 |
DER
2 - 0
PNE
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
PNE
1 - 1
BPO
61%
21%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1938 |
ARS
1 - 0
PNE
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1938 |
ASV
6 - 2
CHL
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1938 |
STO
3 - 1
ASV
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1938 |
ASV
0 - 2
MUD
66%
17%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1938 |
BIR
3 - 0
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1938 |
ASV
1 - 2
LEI
66%
18%
17%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |