Preston North End vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1924 |
ARS
4 - 0
PNE
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1924 |
PNE
2 - 3
MAC
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1924 |
BCF
1 - 1
PNE
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1924 |
PNE
1 - 2
SUN
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1924 |
PNE
3 - 1
NTT
59%
22%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1924 |
ASV
1 - 2
CAR
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1924 |
SUN
1 - 1
ASV
57%
22%
22%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1924 |
ASV
3 - 1
EVE
59%
22%
19%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1924 |
NOT
0 - 0
ASV
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1924 |
ASV
2 - 2
BOL
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |