Preston North End vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1920 |
ASV
1 - 0
PNE
78%
13%
9%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1920 |
PNE
2 - 3
LIV
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1920 |
LIV
6 - 0
PNE
71%
17%
12%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1920 |
PNE
3 - 2
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
NEW
4 - 2
PNE
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1920 |
ASV
1 - 0
PNE
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1920 |
OLD
1 - 1
ASV
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1920 |
ASV
3 - 0
OLD
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1920 |
TOT
1 - 2
ASV
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1920 |
BOL
5 - 0
ASV
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |