Preston North End vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
OLD
4 - 1
PNE
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
PNE
2 - 1
OLD
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
MUD
5 - 1
PNE
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
PNE
2 - 3
MUD
51%
24%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1919 |
BRA
2 - 2
PNE
60%
22%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1919 |
ASV
1 - 0
BRA
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1919 |
BRA
6 - 1
ASV
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1919 |
ASV
0 - 1
LIV
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1919 |
LIV
2 - 1
ASV
55%
21%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1919 |
DER
1 - 0
ASV
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |