Preston North End vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1914 |
LIV
3 - 1
PNE
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1914 |
PNE
4 - 1
NEW
51%
26%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1914 |
TOT
1 - 0
PNE
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1914 |
PNE
4 - 2
MUD
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1914 |
BUR
3 - 4
PNE
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1914 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASV
39%
23%
38%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1914 |
ASV
1 - 0
BUR
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1914 |
ASV
0 - 0
OLD
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1914 |
MUD
0 - 6
ASV
44%
25%
31%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1914 |
CHL
0 - 3
ASV
35%
26%
40%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |