Preston North End vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1909 |
PNE
4 - 1
TOT
58%
21%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
LIV
2 - 0
PNE
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
PNE
4 - 0
NEW
34%
27%
40%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
NOT
3 - 1
PNE
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
PNE
1 - 0
MID
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1909 |
ASV
3 - 2
TOT
80%
12%
8%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1909 |
BCF
0 - 2
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
ASV
1 - 0
BRI
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
SHW
3 - 2
ASV
54%
22%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1909 |
ASV
3 - 1
BRA
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |