Preston North End vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1907 |
BCF
5 - 1
PNE
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1907 |
PNE
2 - 0
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1907 |
PNE
2 - 4
MAC
48%
22%
30%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1907 |
NOT
0 - 1
PNE
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1907 |
PNE
3 - 0
BRI
47%
23%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1907 |
ASV
2 - 2
MAC
63%
19%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1907 |
NOT
0 - 3
ASV
40%
23%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1907 |
ASV
4 - 4
BRI
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1907 |
SHW
2 - 3
ASV
57%
21%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1907 |
ASV
0 - 1
ARS
69%
17%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |