Preston North End vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
NEW
2 - 1
PNE
76%
16%
9%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
DER
3 - 0
PNE
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
PNE
4 - 2
MID
75%
15%
10%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
MAC
1 - 1
PNE
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
PNE
3 - 2
BCF
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1906 |
ASV
2 - 3
MID
88%
8%
4%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1906 |
MAC
4 - 2
ASV
58%
20%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1906 |
ASV
3 - 1
BCF
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1906 |
SHW
2 - 1
ASV
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1906 |
ASV
2 - 2
ARS
72%
16%
11%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |