Preston North End vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1951 |
MUD
1 - 2
PNE
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
PNE
2 - 0
STO
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
BOL
1 - 1
PNE
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1951 |
BPO
0 - 3
PNE
60%
21%
20%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1951 |
PNE
1 - 2
NEW
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1951 |
ARS
1 - 1
TOT
66%
18%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1951 |
MAC
0 - 2
ARS
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1951 |
ARS
3 - 1
DER
66%
18%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1951 |
LIV
0 - 0
ARS
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1951 |
ASV
1 - 0
ARS
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |