Preston North End vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 1
PNE
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1924 |
PNE
2 - 1
WHU
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1924 |
WHU
3 - 1
PNE
44%
28%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
BOL
0 - 0
PNE
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1924 |
PNE
0 - 2
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1924 |
ARS
0 - 1
EVE
46%
25%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1924 |
SUN
1 - 1
ARS
67%
18%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1924 |
EVE
3 - 1
ARS
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1924 |
ARS
2 - 0
SUN
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1924 |
ARS
2 - 0
BUR
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |