Preston North End vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Preston North End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1909 |
LEI
0 - 0
PNE
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1909 |
PNE
3 - 3
EVE
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
MUD
0 - 2
PNE
77%
15%
8%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1909 |
BBU
1 - 1
PNE
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
PNE
2 - 0
BBU
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 1
BRI
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1909 |
NEW
3 - 1
ARS
72%
16%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1909 |
ARS
1 - 0
NOT
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1908 |
SHW
6 - 2
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1908 |
ARS
2 - 1
LEI
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |