Prestatyn Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
9º
6º
43
4º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prestatyn Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
LLA
0 - 3
PRE
33%
21%
46%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
BUC
3 - 3
PRE
44%
21%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PRE
1 - 2
HOL
11%
18%
71%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PRE
3 - 4
GUI
28%
24%
48%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
PRE
1 - 5
AAA
72%
15%
13%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CEF
1 - 2
RTW
44%
23%
34%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
CEF
1 - 1
LLA
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HOL
1 - 1
CEF
15%
18%
68%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
CEF
1 - 3
POR
77%
13%
10%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HOL
4 - 0
CEF
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |