Premià vs Lorca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Premià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
CAR
4 - 0
CEP
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
CEP
0 - 2
HER
28%
27%
44%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
CEP
2 - 0
LEV
21%
25%
54%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
MLL
1 - 1
CEP
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
TAR
2 - 0
CEP
42%
26%
32%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 0
ONT
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
TER
3 - 0
LOR
75%
16%
9%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 0
CAR
38%
26%
37%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 0
GRA
37%
28%
35%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
LOR
4 - 2
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |