Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-1
Premià vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Premià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1993 |
PAL
1 - 1
CEP
35%
27%
39%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
CEP
2 - 1
BAL
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
IGU
0 - 2
CEP
42%
26%
33%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
CEP
5 - 0
EUR
56%
24%
20%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
RBA
1 - 1
CEP
37%
27%
36%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1993 |
HER
4 - 0
GIM
69%
20%
11%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
GIM
2 - 2
UES
32%
28%
40%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
MHN
0 - 2
GIM
50%
27%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1993 |
GIM
1 - 1
ALC
49%
27%
25%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
GIR
1 - 1
GIM
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |