Premià vs Cieza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Premià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
CFC
1 - 1
CEP
64%
24%
13%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
CEP
3 - 4
FIG
30%
29%
41%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1994 |
HOS
3 - 1
CEP
74%
17%
9%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
CEP
2 - 2
GIM
45%
27%
28%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1994 |
ALC
2 - 3
CEP
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Cieza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1994 |
CIE
3 - 1
RUB
37%
28%
35%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1994 |
MAN
2 - 1
CIE
80%
14%
6%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1994 |
PXD
2 - 1
CIE
32%
30%
38%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
CIE
1 - 0
CFC
21%
31%
48%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 1994 |
FIG
3 - 0
CIE
72%
19%
8%
|
32 | 59 | 27 | -1 |