AE Prat vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
62.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AE Prat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
PRA
1 - 0
REU
30%
29%
41%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
PRA
2 - 0
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
PRA
45%
25%
29%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
PRA
2 - 2
RCD
36%
28%
37%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 2
PRA
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 1
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
ELC
1 - 0
GIM
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 2
CEL
18%
25%
57%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
GIM
1 - 2
DEP
16%
27%
57%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 2
GIM
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |