Praiense vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2018 |
PRA
2 - 1
CAS
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ANG
0 - 2
PRA
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
0 - 2
PRA
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PRA
1 - 0
REA
45%
27%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SPB
2 - 1
PRA
87%
10%
3%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ORI
1 - 0
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
REA
2 - 0
ORI
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ORI
2 - 1
LOU
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
AMO
1 - 0
ORI
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ORI
2 - 0
PIN
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |