Praiense vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
PRA
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PRA
3 - 0
LUS
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
QUA
4 - 1
PRA
25%
23%
52%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
PRA
2 - 2
FER
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PRA
1 - 1
ALJ
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
MOU
4 - 0
ALJ
62%
21%
18%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ANG
2 - 1
MOU
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FER
0 - 2
MOU
37%
27%
36%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MOU
1 - 1
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LUS
1 - 0
MOU
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |