Praiense vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LOU
3 - 0
PRA
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PRA
1 - 0
ALJ
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
OPE
5 - 1
PRA
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PRA
4 - 1
LUS
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
QUA
1 - 2
PRA
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
QUA
0 - 1
MOU
32%
27%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MOU
0 - 1
LOU
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MOU
4 - 1
ANG
52%
23%
24%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MOU
0 - 2
VIT
11%
19%
71%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ALJ
1 - 1
MOU
20%
25%
56%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |