Praiense vs Lusitânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Praiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
COI
2 - 5
PRA
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ANG
1 - 2
PRA
20%
22%
58%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PRA
3 - 1
GDA
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
IDE
0 - 2
PRA
24%
23%
53%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 2
PRA
13%
18%
70%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GDA
1 - 0
LUS
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 3
ALC
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LUS
3 - 0
GDR
44%
22%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CIN
1 - 1
LUS
58%
22%
19%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 1
TOU
50%
24%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |