PPJ vs PEPO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
46.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
9º
7º
28
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 31 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 30 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
23% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
77% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PPJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FUT
0 - 3
PPJ
33%
21%
46%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
PPJ
5 - 1
JAP
45%
21%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
ATL
3 - 2
PPJ
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
GRI
0 - 3
PPJ
71%
17%
13%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +2 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PPJ
0 - 2
MYP
45%
20%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
PEPO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
PEP
3 - 1
ATL
50%
22%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
FCR
1 - 1
PEP
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
PEP
2 - 0
FCK
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
NJS
3 - 3
PEP
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PEP
3 - 2
FUT
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |