PPJ vs FC Reipas Lahti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
44.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
9º
7º
28
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
28 | 31 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 30 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
5º
|
59% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 24 |
6º
|
52% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
23% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
77% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PPJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2024 |
FCK
3 - 2
PPJ
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PEP
1 - 2
PPJ
62%
20%
18%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
PPJ
2 - 1
FUT
56%
19%
25%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 0
PPJ
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2024 |
PPJ
2 - 0
JAP
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Reipas Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
FCR
5 - 0
JAP
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
FCR
2 - 0
ATL
50%
23%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FUT
1 - 6
FCR
22%
21%
57%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
FCR
1 - 1
GRI
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PEP
1 - 1
FCR
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |