Série D Brazil Etapas Finales Last 16
Global 2-1
Pouso Alegre vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
27.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pouso Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
POA
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
POA
2 - 0
LTD
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
LTD
0 - 0
POA
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
REA
0 - 0
POA
49%
27%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
POA
2 - 1
INT
36%
28%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
POA
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAS
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
PAR
52%
27%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
OES
34%
29%
38%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAR
57%
27%
16%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |