Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 2-0
Pouso Alegre vs Operário Ltda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
19.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pouso Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
LTD
0 - 0
POA
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
REA
0 - 0
POA
49%
27%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
POA
2 - 1
INT
36%
28%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
POA
2 - 0
URT
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
POA
24%
26%
50%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Operário Ltda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
LTD
0 - 0
POA
29%
28%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
LTD
1 - 0
IPO
29%
27%
45%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
ANA
0 - 1
LTD
62%
24%
15%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
LTD
1 - 2
CEI
36%
27%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
LTD
67%
21%
12%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |