Pouso Alegre vs Itabirito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
22.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pouso Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 0
POA
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
POA
1 - 2
TOM
13%
19%
68%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
AMF
6 - 0
POA
93%
6%
1%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
POA
1 - 2
ECS
25%
28%
48%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
PAY
2 - 1
POA
59%
25%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Itabirito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 0
AMF
5%
13%
82%
|
40 | 86 | 46 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 2
VIL
29%
24%
47%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
DEM
1 - 3
IFC
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BOA
0 - 2
IFC
38%
24%
39%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
IFC
1 - 1
BET
24%
23%
54%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |