Pouso Alegre vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pouso Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
IFC
1 - 1
POA
42%
25%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 0
POA
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
POA
1 - 1
TOM
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
CRZ
0 - 1
POA
83%
13%
5%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
POA
3 - 2
PAT
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 3
CEA
6%
20%
75%
|
43 | 83 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 2
CRZ
5%
16%
79%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
ATH
3 - 2
CAL
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
28%
28%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 1
IFC
17%
20%
63%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |