Potyguar vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
42.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potyguar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
POT
2 - 0
ACD
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ACD
2 - 4
BAR
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ABC
2 - 2
ACD
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 67 | 36 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
GLO
2 - 1
ACD
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 0
ACD
50%
23%
28%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 4
ARN
12%
22%
66%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 2
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
GLO
1 - 1
FEL
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
FEL
1 - 2
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
FEL
2 - 1
POT
15%
20%
65%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | +3 |