Potiguar Mossoró vs Tiradentes CE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
49%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
POT
1 - 1
GUA
27%
26%
47%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
CEN
3 - 0
POT
39%
26%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ARN
1 - 1
POT
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
POT
2 - 2
ARN
20%
25%
55%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
POT
2 - 1
ARN
19%
25%
56%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Tiradentes CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
TIR
3 - 0
YPI
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
TIR
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
TIR
1 - 0
CEN
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
TIR
3 - 0
HOR
39%
24%
36%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
CEA
2 - 2
TIR
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +1 |