Potiguar Mossoró vs Santa Cruz RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
POT
0 - 0
BAR
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
POT
0 - 3
COR
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 1
POT
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
POT
1 - 2
ALE
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
TRE
1 - 2
POT
63%
22%
16%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
COR
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ALE
1 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 4
GLO
30%
26%
44%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -3 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 0
SAN
81%
14%
6%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |