Potiguar Mossoró vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
ABC
3 - 1
POT
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
POT
1 - 1
ALE
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
POT
1 - 1
ARN
19%
24%
57%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
ASS
0 - 1
POT
38%
26%
37%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 2
POT
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
36%
28%
36%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
ITA
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
DOR
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
ITA
27%
28%
45%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 2
CON
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |