Potiguar Mossoró vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 1
POT
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
POT
0 - 2
RIV
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
POT
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
POT
0 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
ABC
2 - 1
POT
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
POT
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
RIV
1 - 2
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
TIR
35%
25%
39%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |