Potiguar Mossoró vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
41.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
POT
3 - 1
PAL
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
POT
0 - 1
GLO
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ASS
4 - 0
POT
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
POT
0 - 2
SAN
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
AFP
1 - 1
POT
28%
22%
51%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
ASS
0 - 4
FEL
38%
23%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
FEL
1 - 1
PAL
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
FEL
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 1
FEL
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2021 |
ARN
2 - 1
FEL
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |