Potiguar Mossoró vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ARN
2 - 0
POT
76%
15%
8%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
POT
2 - 5
SAN
40%
26%
35%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
POT
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
POT
1 - 1
GLO
34%
26%
41%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
POT
1 - 1
ARN
11%
20%
70%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
FEL
0 - 1
ABC
16%
22%
62%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
POR
1 - 0
FEL
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
FEL
0 - 0
FRA
32%
25%
44%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
FEL
1 - 1
XVD
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GRÊ
2 - 1
FEL
83%
12%
5%
|
41 | 70 | 29 | 0 |