Potiguar Mossoró vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 1
POT
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
POT
83%
13%
4%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LAG
0 - 2
POT
11%
16%
73%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
POT
2 - 0
BAR
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
POT
1 - 0
RFC
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 15 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 0
FEL
31%
25%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
ALE
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
POT
2 - 0
BAR
70%
19%
12%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 1
LAG
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
5 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |