Potiguar Mossoró vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
ARN
1 - 0
POT
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 2
POT
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ITA
3 - 0
POT
38%
27%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
POT
2 - 2
UNI
55%
25%
21%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
POT
2 - 0
SER
66%
20%
13%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 0
ABC
20%
25%
56%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 2
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
ARN
15%
23%
62%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 2
BAR
27%
24%
48%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ABC
3 - 1
BAR
66%
21%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |