Potiguar Mossoró vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
POT
0 - 3
COR
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 1
POT
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
POT
1 - 2
ALE
48%
26%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
TRE
1 - 2
POT
63%
22%
16%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
POT
1 - 2
CRB
17%
23%
60%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 1
ARN
11%
21%
68%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GLO
4 - 0
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 1
GLO
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
GLO
0 - 0
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |