Série D Brazil Etapas Finales 1/16
Global 1-1
Potiguar Mossoró vs Bahia de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
44.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
POT
0 - 0
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
POT
63%
22%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
POT
2 - 0
GLO
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
IGU
1 - 2
POT
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
POT
5 - 1
PAC
39%
29%
32%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Bahia de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
BAH
38%
28%
34%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BAH
1 - 0
ASA
65%
21%
13%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
RFC
1 - 0
BAH
50%
28%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
JAC
0 - 0
BAH
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
BAH
2 - 1
ALA
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |