Potiguar Mossoró vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
69.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
POT
84%
12%
4%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 2
POT
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
POT
1 - 0
POR
8%
20%
72%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 3
POT
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
COR
4 - 1
POT
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
COR
3 - 4
ARN
12%
20%
68%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ABC
0 - 1
ARN
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 2
ARN
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 1
ALE
83%
12%
5%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
ARN
11%
20%
69%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |