Potenza SC vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Potenza SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ANC
2 - 0
POT
65%
22%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
POT
1 - 0
MAR
41%
27%
33%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
ACS
1 - 0
POT
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
POT
1 - 2
PIS
38%
29%
34%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
CRO
1 - 0
POT
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
ASL
0 - 2
MAS
54%
24%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
JUS
1 - 1
ASL
41%
30%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
ASL
2 - 1
GAL
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
SSS
1 - 0
ASL
44%
29%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
ASL
0 - 2
SAL
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -2 |