Posušje vs Zvijezda 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
5º
11º
5º
22
12º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Posušje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
POS
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
POS
2 - 1
SLO
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 0
POS
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
POS
0 - 1
ZRI
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
BBL
1 - 0
POS
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zvijezda 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
ZBE
0 - 5
ZEL
22%
26%
52%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
ZBE
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ZBE
2 - 2
IGM
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 0
ZBE
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ZBE
3 - 2
SLO
22%
24%
54%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +2 |