Posušje vs Zvijezda 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
5º
11º
5º
22
12º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Posušje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
POS
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
POS
2 - 1
SLO
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 0
POS
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
POS
0 - 1
ZRI
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
BBL
1 - 0
POS
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zvijezda 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
ZBE
0 - 5
ZEL
22%
26%
52%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
ZBE
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ZBE
2 - 2
IGM
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 0
ZBE
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ZBE
3 - 2
SLO
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |