Posušje vs Željeznicar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
48.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
5º
11º
5º
40
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Posušje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SAR
3 - 0
POS
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
POS
1 - 2
SIR
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
POS
71%
17%
11%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 0
POS
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
ZRI
3 - 1
POS
77%
15%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Željeznicar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
ZEL
2 - 0
BBL
37%
29%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
FKN
2 - 0
ZEL
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
ZEL
2 - 2
FKN
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
DNM
1 - 2
ZEL
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
ZEL
2 - 2
DNM
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |