Posušje vs Borac Banja Luka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
37.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3º
6º
6º
7
3º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
13 | 42 |
1º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 41 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 38 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 36 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
11 | 33 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 30 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 27 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 21 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 20 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 20 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 15 |
12º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
3% | 19.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
9% | 37% |
|
Mid-table
|
80% | 43% |
|
Relegation
|
8% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Posušje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 2
POS
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
1 - 0
POS
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 1
POS
33%
28%
40%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
POS
1 - 1
SLO
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 2
POS
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Borac Banja Luka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ZRI
1 - 1
BBL
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
BBL
3 - 0
GOS
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
BBL
1 - 1
FTC
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
FTC
0 - 0
BBL
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BBL
2 - 0
SLO
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |