Post vs Ostbahn XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TEA
4 - 1
POS
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
POS
1 - 0
FAV
47%
24%
29%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SCW
1 - 1
POS
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
POS
0 - 3
GER
36%
26%
38%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 1
POS
62%
19%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ostbahn XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
OST
2 - 2
SIM
60%
21%
19%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ELE
5 - 2
OST
80%
12%
7%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ADM
2 - 1
OST
61%
20%
18%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
OST
1 - 2
TEA
29%
23%
48%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FAV
1 - 0
OST
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |